Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

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S.Africa June property prices fall on high rates

July 2, 2008

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) – South African median house prices fell by 11.3 percent year-on-year in June, weighed down by higher interest rates and new, tougher credit laws, a survey showed on Tuesday.

Sponsors Standard Bank said house prices peaked in June last year as uncertainty began to bite about the impending National Credit Act (NCA), which came into effect that month to clamp down on excessive lending in the market.

Its monthly property gauge showed the median house price at 550,000 rand last month compared to 620,000 rand a year ago. The five-month moving average growth rate measured -7.8 percent.

The bank said demand for mortgages had been falling since June 2007.

“This is due to a confluence of headwinds confronting the South African consumer,” it said in a statement.

“These include high interest rates and inflation as well as additional hurdles of accessing credit brought about by the NCA. In our view, declines in the demand for property of this magnitude and duration are not inconsistent with national house price deflation.”

South Africa’s central bank has raised its repo rate by 500 basis points to 12 percent since June 2006 to try tame inflation, but price pressures, driven by food and fuel costs, continue to build.

The targeted CPIX — consumer inflation minus mortgage costs — surged to 10.9 percent year-on-year in May, its highest level in 5-1/2 years. All-items inflation stood at 11.7 percent.

The higher rates have pushed monthly mortgage payments up 36 percent over the past two years.

Standard Bank said the monthly data may have been distorted by high base effects due to people rushing to finalise deals before the credit law came into effect last year, but the broad trend was in line with the tough conditions consumers faced.

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Market Open 26/06/2008 – Consumer inflation worse than expected at 10.9%

June 26, 2008

9 o’clock, Thursday the 26th of June. Yesterday we saw local consumer inflation numbers coming out worse than expected at 10.9%, increasing the prospects of further interest rate hikes. Last night the U.S. Federal Reserve left their nterest rates unchanged at 2%. This ends one of their most aggressive rate cutting campaigns to limit the economic fallout from their housing and credit crises. South African near dated, all share futures are currently trading slightly higher on a stronger rand, pointing to further downside on our markets. 


Market Bid Offer Updated Change
Spot Gold
885.7
886.2
09:00
-0.45
Spot Silver (5000oz)
1673.75
1678.75
09:00
-1.75
Spot FX EUR/USD
15644.6
15646.6
09:00
-21
Spot FX USD/ZAR
78933
79133
09:00
485
Spot FX GBP/ZAR
155707
156107
09:00
752
Brent Crude
13346
13362
09:00
-77
FTSE 100 Cash
5627
5629
09:00
-33.8
Platinum
2035.1
2045.3
08:57
18.7
Wall Street Cash
11772
11778
09:00
-38
Germany 30
6562.8
6564.8
09:00
-54.7
Japan 225
13855
13875
08:29
40

News Headlines

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Market Open 25/06/2008 – CPIX today, bad for credit retailers and banks

June 25, 2008

 9:20, Wednesday the 25th of June. South African near dated, all share futures are currently trading 110 points down, pointing to further downside on our markets. Yesterday, our markets ended in the red as global markets, inflation and interest rate worries weighed on local sentiment. Consumer price data due out at 11:00 this morning is forecast to rise to 10.8%, adding further pressure to our credit retailers and banks. This evening the U.S. Federal reserve announces their interest rate decision. This is widely expected to remain unchanged.


Market Bid Offer Updated Change
Spot Gold
888.75
889.25
09:20
-0.6
Spot Silver (5000oz)
1669.5
1674.5
09:20
4.5
Spot FX EUR/USD
15552.1
15554.1
09:20
-15.1
Spot FX USD/ZAR
79687.5
79887.5
09:20
-450.5
Spot FX GBP/ZAR
156781
157181
09:20
-1176
Brent Crude
13644
13652
09:20
-3
FTSE 100 Cash
5640.3
5642.3
09:20
10.5
Platinum
2016.1
2032.3
09:12
-4.45
Wall Street Cash
11844
11850
09:20
37
Germany 30
6561.8
6563.8
09:20
14
Japan 225
13880
13900
08:30
55

News Headlines

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Putting A Face On The Credit Crisis

June 24, 2008

From hedge fund managers to alleged mortgage scamsters, Washington goes on an arrest binge. Too little, too late?

read more | digg story

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Major Bank Issues Global Stock and Credit Crash Alert

June 19, 2008

The Royal Bank of Scotland has advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months as inflation paralyzes the major central banks. “A very nasty period is soon to be upon us – be prepared,” said Bob Janjuah, the bank’s credit strategist.

read more | digg story

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Why Oil Price Is High – Fed Printed Way Too Many Dollars

June 15, 2008

The two biggest factors in oil’s high price are the weakness in the U.S. dollar’s exchange value and the liquidity that the Federal Reserve is pumping out. In an effort to forestall a serious recession and further crises in derivative instruments, the Federal Reserve is pouring out liquidity that is financing speculation in oil futures contracts.

read more | digg story

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How Speculators Are Causing the Cost of Living to Skyrocket

June 15, 2008

After investing in high-tech stocks and real estate loans for years, legions of speculators have now discovered commodities like oil and gas, wheat and rice. Their huge investments are pushing prices up to unprecedented levels — with serious consequences for ordinary people’s quality of life and the global economy.

read more | digg story

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